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Earlier today, I responded thusly to a reader who had implied that Rasmussen polls were more accurate in the 2008 presidential election than the respective projections by analysts Nate Silver and Sam Wang:
The Rasmussen record [of accuracy] in 2008 relates only to the national popular vote. But when it came to state races, where the electoral votes were, nobody was more accurate than Nate Silver and Sam Wang.
Silver correctly predicted the presidential winner in 49 of the 50 states. The only state he missed was Indiana, which went for Obama by 1%. He also correctly predicted the winner ...
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