Until just recently, my favorite polling analyst was Nate Silver of The New York Times.
But I’ve finally come to place more trust in Sam Wang of the Princeton Election Consortium, mainly because he keeps his eye focused solely on the only important thing in a presidential race — the Electoral College.
In a post here the other day, I said that I don’t fully understand Wang’s rather arcane methods of analysis. But I’m beginning to get the basic hang of it all. The most important factor is that he concentrates solely on state polls and ignores national polls. After all, ...