From time to time, I link here to stuff from Sam Wang, a polling analyst at the Princeton Election Consortium. But this doesn’t mean that I fully understand Wang’s rather arcane methods of analysis. His references to meta-this and sigma-that are — in more ways than one — Greek to me.
Despite all that, I point you this morning to THIS POST from Wang, in which he says:
[H]ere is something interesting. National polls do not match the state polls – and it is state races that determine the outcome, via the Electoral College. In the Meta-Analysis that Andrew Ferguson and ...